API Group closed at 19.5p today (up 3.5p or 21.88%). This comes following the recent news about the disposal of API's joint venture interests in China. Since the release of the much improved interim results, on 2nd December 2010, API has been hovering around the 15 - 16p level. The chart (below), shows the recent action...
The volume yesterday (6.73m shares) was quite decisive and was followed by todays rise, on lower volume (527 thousand shares). As you can see, with good technical indicators and now with the fundamentals seeming to be on an improving trend, this is one well worth watching for us DIY-Investors!
Monday, 31 January 2011
Thursday, 13 January 2011
Luminar Group Holdings (LMR) - Breakout?
Luminar closed at 15.75p today, breaking through the short-term resistance line and showing the first signs of life since its last minor high on 20th October 2010. The sharescope graph (below) shows very clearly the gradual splutterings of life beginning to appear.
The on balance volume (OBV) has remained strong since October and, until today's announcement about recent trading, there really hadn't been any significant response to LMR having refinced its debt in December.
However, Luminar made it into the DIY-Investors.com picks for the year and so we are not too surprised to see signs of life. For the list of ten sharepicks for 2011 and details of last years market beating performance, check out the newsletter on the DIY-Investors.com website HERE.
The on balance volume (OBV) has remained strong since October and, until today's announcement about recent trading, there really hadn't been any significant response to LMR having refinced its debt in December.
However, Luminar made it into the DIY-Investors.com picks for the year and so we are not too surprised to see signs of life. For the list of ten sharepicks for 2011 and details of last years market beating performance, check out the newsletter on the DIY-Investors.com website HERE.
Wednesday, 22 December 2010
Titan Europe (TSW) - Breaking out?
Titan Europe (TSW) closed today at 83p. This marks a quiet breakout, on low volume, above the resistance level (82.5p) that has been containing the price for about three months.
Now you might think that nudging through by a mere 0.5p is insignificant but in our experience, these small moves often mark the start of a new uptrend. The OBV remains strong and the MACD indicator gave a buy signal a few days ago. Judging by the longer term chart, there doesn't seem much to stop the SP climbing to about 122p (see below). Do you agree?
Apart from Blackrock increasing their holding to above 5% (17th November) and the good trading update on 5th November (for the 3rd quarter to 30th September), we can't find any other obvious reason for the breakout. If you have any ideas, please share them with us here.
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| TSW - 6 month chart |
Now you might think that nudging through by a mere 0.5p is insignificant but in our experience, these small moves often mark the start of a new uptrend. The OBV remains strong and the MACD indicator gave a buy signal a few days ago. Judging by the longer term chart, there doesn't seem much to stop the SP climbing to about 122p (see below). Do you agree?
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| Titan Europe - Longer term chart (approx 27 months) |
Apart from Blackrock increasing their holding to above 5% (17th November) and the good trading update on 5th November (for the 3rd quarter to 30th September), we can't find any other obvious reason for the breakout. If you have any ideas, please share them with us here.
Tuesday, 14 December 2010
STV Group - Is this the perfect rounded bottom?
- Scottish TV Group (Epic: STVG) has been on the DIY-Investors.com radar screen for some while. The share price graph (below) indicates that it is in the process of forming an almost perfect textbook "rounded bottom" - generally considered one of the strongest of bullish bottoming patterns.
The OBV is also strong and the RSI is also looking good. The price seems to be hugging the 200 day SMA but this in turn is now curving upwards.
The fundamentals also look encouraging. Based on the concensus forecasts for Y/E 31.12.2010, valuations are as follows:
- PER (pr) = 2.92
- PSR = 0.41
- PEG (pr) = 0.14
Tuesday, 7 December 2010
Johnson Service Group (JSG) - Breakout from trading range
You can see that Johnson Service Group (JSG) has clearly broken out of the trading range that has been constraining it for some weeks, see Graph below.
The next likely resistance level is 36.5p, the closing price on 7th May 2008, when JSG hit a "minor high", before reversing to begin its final downtrend leg. Since hitting its low (5.25p on 17th February 2009), it has been gradually creeping upwards in a typical step/stutter fashion.
With earnings (eps) forecast to nearly double in the current year, ending 31st December 2010, and a PEG of 0.16, prospects look to be improving for this turnaround candidate.
We believe that this share, in a typical "boring" Company - unloved by the City, is likely to undergo a significant re-rating over the next twelve months. What do you think?
The next likely resistance level is 36.5p, the closing price on 7th May 2008, when JSG hit a "minor high", before reversing to begin its final downtrend leg. Since hitting its low (5.25p on 17th February 2009), it has been gradually creeping upwards in a typical step/stutter fashion.
With earnings (eps) forecast to nearly double in the current year, ending 31st December 2010, and a PEG of 0.16, prospects look to be improving for this turnaround candidate.
We believe that this share, in a typical "boring" Company - unloved by the City, is likely to undergo a significant re-rating over the next twelve months. What do you think?
Sunday, 17 October 2010
Impellam Group (165p) - Recovery under way!
Impellam group, the AIM listed provider of staffing solutions, outsourced services and management is rocketing away. Since the release of its interims on Friday 6th August 2010, it has increased from 96.5p to close at 165p on Friday 15th October (10 weeks) - a 70.98% gain.
Is the rise set to continue? Well, consider the following points:
Is the rise set to continue? Well, consider the following points:
- With a Turnover in excess of £1Bn, IPEL has a PSR of 0.06 (extremely low).
- It has reduced its nebt debt by £30.4m to £39.2m (as at 2nd July 2010).
- It had adjusted eps of 21.8p for the half year, which if we double to 43.6p (to get an idea of likely full year earnings), gives us a PE of about 3.78 (about one-third of its peer group).
- Technicals look strong (particularly OBV).
Thursday, 7 October 2010
Lonrho (14.25p) - poised to break through resistance?
Lonrho gained 2p (+16.33%) in todays trading session, making it the largest riser in the DIY-Investors research list. Looking at the SP graph, the highest price since the peak (in the last two years) of 14.5p, reached on 13/04/2010 looks vulnerable. The technicals look good, with OBV increasing and strong RSI. If it breaks through the 14.5p level tomorrow and stays above it at the close, where do you think it's next resistance line is?
I favour a level of about 22p. Any other views?
I favour a level of about 22p. Any other views?
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